Cars / Lexus ES
Lexus ES depreciation in UAE
A Lexus ES loses about 13.7% of its value per year in UAE. Buy one new for AED 177,500 and after 3 years it's worth roughly AED 114,091 (64% retained); after 5 years, about AED 84,974 (48%). Driving more than ~20,000 km/year pushes resale lower.
By UAE standards the Lexus ES depreciates at a moderate, mainstream rate, which is exactly what tips a buy-vs-rent decision one way or the other over a few years of ownership.
So should you buy it or rent it? At default assumptions the break-even long-term rental rate is about AED 3,031/month: rent below that and renting wins; above it, buying wins. Your price, financing, and mileage move this number, so run yours:
Buying wins · over 3 years
AED 0
cheaper than renting, all costs in.
Break-even rent: AED 3,031/month. Below that, rent; above it, buy.
If you buy: AED 109,107 total
| Down payment / cash price | AED 177,500 |
| Insurance | AED 13,887 |
| Registration | AED 1,260 |
| Maintenance | AED 3,546 |
| Opportunity cost of capital | AED 21,300 |
| Resale value (credit) | −AED 108,386 |
Expected resale, net of selling costs: AED 108,386 (range AED 93,767 to AED 123,249)
If you rent: AED 140,400 total
| Rental payments | AED 140,400 |
Fuel and Salik are excluded on both sides; you pay them either way.
Lexus ES depreciation in UAE, by the numbers
| Estimated new price | AED 177,500 |
|---|---|
| Annual depreciation rate | 13.7% per year |
| Estimated value after 1 year | AED 153,185 (86% retained) |
| Estimated value after 2 years | AED 132,200 (74% retained) |
| Estimated value after 3 years | AED 114,091 (64% retained) |
| Estimated value after 5 years | AED 84,974 (48% retained) |
| Typical resale range at 3 years | AED 98,702 to AED 129,736 |
| Break-even rent (default assumptions) | AED 3,031/month |
| Data behind this curve | market fit · 126 data points · R² 0.93 |
Figures assume a new purchase at typical mileage. The calculator above lets you set your actual price, age, odometer, financing, and holding period.
Frequently asked
How much does a Lexus ES depreciate per year in UAE?
Roughly 13.7% per year, based on our fit of 126 UAE listings. Higher-than-average mileage accelerates the loss.
What will a Lexus ES be worth after 3 years?
Around 64% of what you paid, about AED 114,091 on a AED 177,500 car at typical mileage (with a realistic range either side; we show a 10-90% band, not a single false-precision number).
Should I buy or rent a Lexus ES in UAE?
It hinges on the monthly rental rate you can get. At default assumptions (3 years, cash, 20,000 km/year), the break-even is about AED 3,031/month: if you can rent below that, renting wins; above it, buying wins. Use the calculator to plug in your actual numbers.
Curve fit: market data · n = 126 · R² = 0.93 · updated 2026-07-04 · methodology